The Blue Jays have won 11 of their past 12 games and 18 of 23 dating back to May 4. That final mark equates to a .783 winning percentage, which clearly can't be maintained through the remainder of the year. There are bound to be some bumps along the way, and it's how the club responds to that adversity that will ultimately dictate its spot in the standings.
Some teams get hot and then find a way to carry most of that momentum throughout the season. Other teams show flashes of brilliance and then crash back to reality a short time after. A perfect example of that could be found last year when the Blue Jays had an 11-game winning streak in June and then had everything fall apart once and for all before the All-Star break.
That begs the question about whether this year's squad is on a similar trajectory or whether it's for real. Blue Jays manager John Gibbons obviously believes it's the latter, but he has a few solid reasons for why he thinks that's the case.
"Last year, we had to do that to get to .500," Gibbons said. "This year, we've done it to climb over .500, so that's a big difference.
"The offense is better this year; we have more weapons in there. The key last year, it was kind of what's going on now. The pitching improved for those two weeks considerably. The bullpen was pretty strong to begin with. Everything came together just like it is this year, but we're in a different position now. I think this year is a stronger team."
The big uncertainty surrounding this team remains the starting rotation. It seems extremely unlikely that Mark Buehrle will be able to maintain his current pace (9-1, 2.33 ERA), but for the most part, Toronto knows what its going to get from the veteran left-hander and also knuckleballer R.A. Dickey. Right-hander Drew Hutchison also has developed a reasonable level of consistency, even though he's still 23 years old.
That leaves J.A. Happ and Liam Hendriks as the starters with varying levels of skepticism hanging over their heads. Happ has made an early statement by going 4-1 with a 3.34 ERA, but the sample size is still small, while Hendriks can't even be evaluated because he has one start under his belt.
There are plenty of reasons to doubt that the Blue Jays' rotation will be able to maintain its current pace, but don't tell that to Gibbons. When pressed for answers on his starters, Gibbons took the perceived skepticism and shot it right back at the reporters in a half-joking manner. The media suggested the rotation can't keep this up and Gibbons response was essentially, 'Why not?'
"How do you know it can't happen?" Gibbons said. "It could happen. You never know what might happen. ... Shoot, Happ might go 20-1."
Gregor Chisholm is a reporter for MLB.com. Read his blog, North of the Border, and follow him on Twitter @gregorMLB. This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.